Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 15.345630 17.901007 20.682484 23.926200 27.595932 31.609549 36.321845
2025-03-16 10.234270 13.514252 17.462263 22.522093 28.788017 36.243294 45.730068
2025-03-23 8.141053 11.850910 16.677346 23.317696 32.102851 43.202355 58.141184
2025-03-30 6.867447 10.851329 16.379434 24.435745 35.668988 50.541560 71.437995
2025-04-06 5.470358 9.352557 15.079297 23.884273 36.765218 54.552701 80.516529
2025-04-13 4.266642 7.880060 13.535084 22.683537 36.680827 56.773774 87.137916
2025-04-20 3.842511 7.553401 13.641805 23.893127 40.132345 64.145249 101.398816
2025-04-27 3.558054 7.401934 13.982168 25.461843 44.209659 72.655236 117.795013
2025-05-04 3.118987 6.889537 13.638052 25.851685 46.429999 78.478703 130.506156
2025-05-11 2.675108 6.282181 13.035123 25.712770 47.740095 82.931639 141.334765
2025-05-18 2.262381 5.654883 12.300652 25.240169 48.413203 86.367004 150.712271
2025-05-25 1.964351 5.207567 11.835522 25.181351 49.751002 90.907105 162.030750
2025-06-01 1.677521 4.747760 11.320994 25.048395 51.081173 95.744783 174.509647
2025-06-08 1.305883 4.007115 10.128020 23.484074 49.721016 96.021210 179.627097
2025-06-15 1.180577 3.843802 10.131704 24.288946 52.800680 104.117561 198.319114
2025-06-22 1.093925 3.761444 10.299792 25.442837 56.625994 113.742414 220.123731
2025-06-29 0.911816 3.368361 9.689730 24.871251 57.030979 117.252919 231.481930
2025-07-06 0.725304 2.905327 8.827318 23.627886 55.959263 117.961278 237.882664
2025-07-13 0.684680 2.884353 9.062056 24.880269 60.080258 128.551258 262.529457
2025-07-20 0.662157 2.917668 9.441384 26.504041 65.090319 141.079969 291.266059
2025-07-27 0.592124 2.769003 9.312979 26.907487 67.533015 148.815737 311.532635
2025-08-03 0.511756 2.557846 8.976697 26.763728 68.771528 154.267585 327.786744
2025-08-10 0.432260 2.321816 8.525873 26.274616 69.194461 158.112106 341.159823